Population forecast model

Summary

Strengths: The registry provides an advanced prognosis model. Model improvements were made in 2012, which involved using population trends in other European countries. Weaknesses: The registry uses the de jure population and has a separate estimate of the illegal population.

Type of data

Data Source
Registry

Type of Study
Other: Statistical model, based on historical population statistics

Data gathering method
Registries

Access to data

Conditions of access
Population forecast publicly accessible through Statline (www.cbs.nl)

Type of available data (e.g. anonymised microdata, aggregated tables, etc.)
Aggregated tables

Formats available
Excel

Coverage

Coverage Years of collection, reference years, and sample sizes
Prognosis for 2013 - 2060. Data collection is ongoing and is scheduled to continue at some point in the future.

First year of collection
2013

Stratification if applicable
Not applicable

Base used for sampling

Geographical coverage and breakdowns
Entire Dutch population

Age range
No age restrictions

Statistical representativeness
Population representative

Coverage of main and cross-cutting topics
Detailed study of: Population forecast; number of people, households, regional distribution.

Linkage

Standardisation

Possibility of linkage among databases
Basic data linkable to other person databases through anonymized personal number.

Data quality

Entry errors if applicable
Prognosis are always checked for internal inconsistencies and compared with actual developments in population statistics.

Breaks

Consistency of terminology or coding used during collection
All population estimations within the same prognosis are comparable.

Governance

Contact information
Department of Demographic Statistics
Statistics Netherlands
Henri Faasdreef 312
2492 JP Den Haag Netherlands Phone: Infoservice: 003188 570 70 70
Email: info(at)cbs.nl
Url:

Timeliness, transparency
Data (population number, households, regional) is collected every two years.